Hey, Mom! The Explanation.

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Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Russia. Show all posts

Saturday, October 11, 2025

A Sense of Doubt blog post #3889 - Russiagate: Not a Hoax, Not a Witch Hunt


A Sense of Doubt blog post #3889 - Russiagate: Not a Hoax, Not a Witch Hunt


Quick share because I am behind schedule.

Thanks for tuning in.






REBECCA WATSON
https://youtu.be/wtCKnQEBok8


Tulsi Gabbard is Lying. Russiagate is True


Every now and then, whenever I talk about political conspiracies, a commenter will say something about “Russiagate.” I’ve never made a video about “Russiagate,” but there are some people who I think are just obsessed with the idea. And when I first noticed a lot of people mentioning it, I thought that maybe I should make a video about it. But the problem is that I had no idea what exactly people were talking about. Some people thought I “believe” in Russiagate, which is stupid. Others were alarmed that I clearly had no idea that Russiagate even happened. Most commenters, on the far-right and the far-left, seemed to agree that it was a dumb conspiracy that liberals believe in. And so, when I recently made a video listing off the conspiracy theories I’ve seen coming from the left, a lot of people were surprised I hadn’t included “Russiagate.” So okay, here’s a video about Russiagate.

As best as I can tell, “Russiagate” means different things to different people, though it all revolves around Russia’s involvement in the 2016 US Presidential election. Specifically, I have seen the word employed to mock liberals who refuse to accept that Hillary Clinton and the Democrats ran a terrible campaign in their first loss to Donald Trump, instead blaming the Russian government for somehow meddling and fixing the election in Trump’s favor. To those on the far right, this was dumb and bad because it dismissed the obvious will of the American people to elect the dumbest person to ever hold public office. To those on the far left, this was dumb and bad because it allowed Democrats to continue to believe that 2016 was just a fluke that they had no real control over, and that they could regain power without changing course or including progressives in their future agenda.

The problem, as I see it, is that everyone is wrong and also correct. You don’t have to choose one or the other: yes, Hillary Clinton ran a terrible campaign. And yes, Russia absolutely without a doubt meddled in the 2016 election and likely helped Trump to victory.

I’ll pause here to point out that to some people (on both the believer and nonbeliever sides), “Russiagate” means that the Russian government literally hacked our voting machines and changed votes from “Clinton” to “Trump.” If a person believes that, then yes, that person believes a conspiracy theory that most assuredly did not happen.

We know that it didn’t happen because we have access to loads of documents from our national intelligence services in which they worry about that happening. The US has been doing this sort of spy versus spy shit with various countries now for decades upon decades. WE would love to manipulate a few elections here and there, and have done so quite happily, so obviously other world superpowers would like to do it to us. So, the Obama administration wisely had people look into it, because they had heard reports from several states that had “recently seen scanning and probing of their election-related systems, which in most cases originated from servers operated by a Russian company.” 

So, the U.S. Intelligence Community and the Department of Homeland Security beefed up cybersecurity where needed, and came to the conclusion that “it would be extremely difficult for someone, including a nation-state actor, to alter actual ballot counts or election results by cyber attack or intrusion. This assessment is based on the decentralized nature of our election system in this country and the number of protections state and local election officials have in place. States ensure that voting machines are not connected to the Internet, and there are numerous checks and balances as well as extensive oversight at multiple levels built into our election process.”

After the election, they confirmed that no such Russian vote rigging happened.

But the reason why I’m talking about all of this today is because Tulsi Gabbard, director of national intelligence and member of a weird homophobic cult, has just publicized the document I just mentioned in an attempt to convince the general public that it proves “Russiagate” is a myth. Which, yes, it IS a myth that Russia hacked the election, but as I said, many people think “Russiagate” includes Russia doing anything at all to affect our elections. And as I said, Russia absolutely, without a doubt, interfered in the 2016 elections. And probably the ones before that and the ones after, too, but their efforts in 2016 were distinctly obvious and successful.

Gabbard is using these documents to debunk the actually false “Russiagate” narrative in the hopes that the public will therefore also reject the intelligence report from January of 2017 that conclusively establishes that “Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election. Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian Government developed a clear preference for President-elect Trump.”

The declassified version of the highly classified document claimed that “We have high confidence in these judgments,” with “we” referring to the FBI, the CIA, and the NSA. They wrote that “When it appeared to Moscow that Secretary Clinton was likely to win the election, the Russian influence campaign began to focus more on undermining her future presidency.” The campaign “followed a Russian messaging strategy that blends covert intelligence operations—such as cyber activity—with overt efforts by Russian Government agencies, state-funded media, third-party intermediaries, and paid social media users or “trolls.”

They note that the interference represented a “significant escalation” in Russia’s attempts to manipulate the US elections and warned that their success would lead to similar attempts in the future, in the US and around the world. If you’re wondering why Russia thought it was such a great idea to throw millions of dollars at rightwing grifters like Tim Pool and Dave Rubin ahead of the 2024 election, this document explains it very well: because it works. Funding American morons to tell their large audience of American morons to vote for Donald Trump actually does get Donald Trump elected. No mass hacking of voting machines necessary.

So yes, “Russiagate” is real, depending on how you define “Russiagate.” Vladimir Putin has made many very obvious attempts to influence US elections, and probably a whole bunch of less obvious attempts, too. And it’s very, very important to understand this and to differentiate between “Russia hacking voting machines” and “Russia engaging in a disinformation campaign” to get Trump elected, because Trump and his little lackeys are now trying to cover up that distinction in order to possibly order the arrest of his political rivals.

That’s right: in her completely insane press release on the matter, Gabbard claims that the joint report from the CIA, FBI, and NSA that found clear evidence of Russian interference in the 2016 election actually came about because “President Obama and his national security cabinet members manufactured and politicized intelligence to lay the groundwork for what was essentially a years-long coup against President Trump.” Gabbard directly calls the report “treasonous,” and an “egregious abuse of power and blatant rejection of our Constitution threatens the very foundation and integrity of our democratic republic.” Because, yes, every accusation is truly a confession.

As David Corn points out on Mother Jones, Gabbard’s announcement happened to come at the very same time that Trump is literally posting AI slop videos of Barack Obama being arrested by the FBI and put in prison, and obviously it is set to Trump’s baffling favorite song.

Will Trump actually use this idiotic ruse to send his political rivals to a work camp in El Salvador? Is this “just” a distraction from the fact that Trump refuses to release the Epstein documents? Who knows! Stay tuned to find out what happens next on “The US is Now a Fascist Hellhole, Please Someone Do Something.”


MORE INFORMATION

https://www.dissentmagazine.org/blog/five-reasons-why-the-left-should-care-about-russiagate/

https://www.axios.com/2025/07/24/trump-russiagate-obama-epstein-files


https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/all-of-the-mueller-reports-major-findings-in-less-than-30-minutes


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- Bloggery committed by chris tower - 2510.11 - 10:10

- Days ago: MOM = 3754 days ago & DAD = 408 days ago

- New note - On 1807.06, I ceased daily transmission of my Hey Mom feature after three years of daily conversations. I post Hey Mom blog entries on special occasions. I post the days since ("Days Ago") count on my blog each day, and now I have a second count for Days since my Dad died on August 28, 2024. I am now in the same time zone as Google! So, when I post at 10:10 a.m. PDT to coincide with the time of Mom's death, I am now actually posting late, so it's really 1:10 p.m. EDT. But I will continue to use the time stamp of 10:10 a.m. to remember the time of her death and sometimes 13:40 EDT for the time of Dad's death. The blog entry numbering in the title has changed to reflect total Sense of Doubt posts since I began the blog on 0705.04, which include Hey Mom posts, Daily Bowie posts, and Sense of Doubt posts. Hey Mom posts will still be numbered sequentially. New Hey Mom posts will use the same format as all the other Hey Mom posts; all other posts will feature this format seen here.

Wednesday, March 6, 2024

A Sense of Doubt blog post #3305 - Why do Some Republicans Love Putin?



A Sense of Doubt blog post #3305 - Why do Some Republicans Love Putin?


Republicans continue to redefine how abominable and vile people can be as well as embarrassing our country around the world.

Thanks a lot.

LOW POWER MODE: I sometimes put the blog in what I call LOW POWER MODE. If you see this note, the blog is operating like a sleeping computer, maintaining static memory, but making no new computations. If I am in low power mode, it's because I do not have time to do much that's inventive, original, or even substantive on the blog. This means I am posting straight shares, limited content posts, reprints, often something qualifying for the THAT ONE THING category and other easy to make posts to keep me daily. That's the deal. Thanks for reading.






THE MORNING, MARCH 01, 2024

By David Leonhardt and Ian Prasad Philbrick



Good morning. We’re covering the Republican fascination with Vladimir Putin — as well as the U.S.-Mexico border, Gaza and the subway.

Vladimir Putin in a black suit with a circle and diamond patterned tie sits in front of a microphone while listening to an ear piece in his right ear.
Vladimir Putin Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times

Enemy or ally?

Large parts of the Republican Party now treat Vladimir Putin as if he were an ideological ally. Putin, by contrast, continues to treat the U.S. as an enemy.

This combination is clearly unusual and sometimes confusing. It does not appear to stem from any compromising information that Putin has about Donald Trump, despite years of such claims from Democrats. Instead, Trump and many other Republicans seem to feel ideological sympathies with Putin’s version of right-wing authoritarian nationalism. They see the world dividing between a liberal left and an illiberal right, with both themselves and Putin — along with Viktor Orban of Hungary and some other world leaders — in the second category.

Whatever the explanation, the situation threatens decades of bipartisan consensus about U.S. national security.

Already, House Republicans have blocked further aid to Ukraine — a democracy and U.S. ally that Putin invaded. Without the aid, military experts say Russia will probably be able to take over more of Ukraine than it now holds.

If Trump wins a second term, he may go further. He has suggested that he might abandon the U.S. commitment to NATO, an alliance that exists to contain Russia and that Putin loathes. He recently invited Russia to “to do whatever the hell they want” to NATO countries that don’t spend enough on their own defense. (Near the end of his first term, he tried to pull American troops out of Germany, but President Biden rescinded the decision.)

Trump has also avoided criticizing Putin for the mysterious death this month of his most prominent domestic critic, Aleksei Navalny, and has repeatedly praised Putin as a strong and smart leader. In a town hall last year, Trump refused to say whether he wanted Ukraine or Russia to win the war.

There are some caveats worth mentioning. Some skepticism about how much money the U.S. should send to Ukraine stems from practical questions about the war’s endgame. It’s also true that some prominent Republicans, especially in the Senate, are horrified by their party’s pro-Russian drift and are lobbying the House to pass Ukraine aid. “If your position is being cheered by Vladimir Putin, it’s time to reconsider your position,” Senator Mitt Romney of Utah said last month.

But the Republican fascination with Putin and Russia is real. The Putin-friendly faction of the party is ascendant, while some of his biggest critics, like Mitch McConnell, who announced this week that he would step down this year as the Republican Senate leader, will soon retire.

(We recommend this article — in which Carl Hulse, The Times’s chief Washington correspondent, explains that while McConnell sees the U.S. as the world’s essential force, a growing number of Republicans do not.)

In the rest of today’s newsletter, we’ll walk through the evidence of this shift.

Ukraine aid

The Senate has passed an additional $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, with both Republican and Democratic support. But the House, which Republicans control, has so far refused to pass that bill. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who is close to Trump, has not allowed a vote on the bill even though it would likely pass if he did.

A few Republicans have gone so far as speak about Ukraine and its president, Volodymyr Zelensky, in ways that mimic Russian propaganda. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene has accused Ukraine of having “a Nazi army,” echoing language Putin used to justify the invasion.

Military experts say that if Ukraine does not receive more U.S. aid, it could begin losing the war in the second half of this year. “Not since the first chaotic months of the invasion, when Russian troops poured across the borders from every direction and the country rose up en masse to resist, has Ukraine faced such a precarious moment,” wrote our colleagues Andrew Kramer and Marc Santora, who have been reporting from Ukraine.

(Related: Ukrainians who live to the west of the recently captured Avdiivka are poised to flee in the face of a Russian onslaught.)

Alexander Smirnov

House Republicans hoping to impeach President Biden have repeatedly promoted information that appears to have been based partly on Russian disinformation. One example: The Republicans cited an F.B.I. document in which an informant accused Biden and his son, Hunter, of taking $5 million bribes from the owner of Burisma, a Ukrainian gas company.

But federal prosecutors have now accused the informant, Alexander Smirnov, of fabricating the allegation to damage Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign. Smirnov has told the F.B.I. that people linked to Russian intelligence passed him information about Hunter Biden.

A federal judge has ordered Smirnov detained and called him a flight risk.

Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson is not a Republican Party official, but he is an influential Trump supporter, and Carlson has often echoed Russian propaganda. At least once, he went so far as to say he hoped Russia would win its war against Ukraine.

Last month, Carlson aired a two-hour interview with Putin in which Putin made false claims about Ukraine, Zelensky and Western leaders with little pushback from Carlson. In a separate video recorded inside a Russian grocery store, Carlson suggested life in Russia was better than in the U.S. (Watch Jon Stewart debunk those claims here.)

Republican voters

The shift in elite Republican opinion toward Russia and away from Ukraine has influenced public opinion.

Shortly after Russia invaded, about three-quarters of Republicans favored giving Ukraine military and economic aid, according to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Now, only about half do.

Republican voters are also less likely to hold favorable views of Zelensky. In one poll, most Trump-aligned Republicans even partly blamed him for the war. Republicans also support NATO at lower rates than Democrats and independents, a shift from the 1980s.

More on the war



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- Bloggery committed by chris tower - 2403.05 - 10:10

- Days ago = 3169 days ago

- New note - On 1807.06, I ceased daily transmission of my Hey Mom feature after three years of daily conversations. I plan to continue Hey Mom posts at least twice per week but will continue to post the days since ("Days Ago") count on my blog each day. The blog entry numbering in the title has changed to reflect total Sense of Doubt posts since I began the blog on 0705.04, which include Hey Mom posts, Daily Bowie posts, and Sense of Doubt posts. Hey Mom posts will still be numbered sequentially. New Hey Mom posts will use the same format as all the other Hey Mom posts; all other posts will feature this format seen here.